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Avon Mercantile Ltd

512265.BO · Services

Avon Mercantile is a non-banking financial company that primarily provides short-term loans, inter-corporate deposits, and bridge financing to its own group companies.

Our view
Avoid
Quality score
3
Discount to fair value
—
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Fair value / share
—
Discount to fair value
—
Quality score
3/100
Return on equity
-6.6%
Revenue growth (5y)
-2.2%
P/E
—

Competitive advantage

The company lacks a competitive moat as its primary activity is lending to related parties, resulting in negative net margins and a declining revenue trend that contradicts any claim of pricing power or scale advantage.

Capital allocation

Capital is primarily deployed as unsecured or secured loans to group entities; however, this has resulted in poor returns, with an average ROE of -6.6% and accumulated losses that prevent dividend payments.

Bear case

The company's collapse was the inevitable result of a 'circular' business model where capital was continuously funneled into related-party loans that eventually turned into bad debts. As the interest coverage ratio of 1.27 left no room for error, a minor liquidity crunch at a group entity triggered a default chain. With seven promoters already untraceable and the CFO seat a revolving door, there was no responsible leadership to navigate the crisis, leading to a total loss of confidence and a second, permanent trading suspension.

Questions & answers

Is Avon Mercantile Ltd (512265.BO) a good business?

RichFakir rates Avon Mercantile Ltd's business quality as poor — 3/100 on our quality score (profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength and capital allocation). We assess its competitive moat as none.

What is RichFakir's verdict on Avon Mercantile Ltd (512265.BO)?

RichFakir's educational verdict on Avon Mercantile Ltd is: Avoid. We are steering clear of this one — the red flags below outweigh anything the price or numbers offer.

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