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Cupid Breweries & Distilleries Ltd

512361.BO · Fast Moving Consumer Goods

The company produces and distributes alcoholic beverages, including beer and Indian Made Foreign Liquor, while also trading in raw materials and consumables for the alcohol industry.

Our view
Avoid
Quality score
24
Discount to fair value
—
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Fair value / share
—
Discount to fair value
—
Quality score
24/100
Return on equity
-11.8%
Revenue growth (5y)
—
P/E
—

Competitive advantage

The company lacks a sustainable competitive advantage, as evidenced by deeply negative operating margins and a recent history of trading suspension. While it is attempting to build brand presence and manufacturing capacity, current returns on capital do not support the existence of any cost or brand moat.

Capital allocation

Historical allocation was poor, resulting in a negative net worth and accumulated losses. Recent efforts involve heavy reliance on promoter loans and share swaps for acquisitions, which have yet to demonstrate incremental returns on invested capital.

Bear case

The company's attempt to pivot from a suspended shell to a functional beverage player collapsed as the negative net worth and chronic cash burn proved insurmountable. Despite aggressive share swaps and promoter loans, the lack of a real brand or cost advantage meant every rupee of revenue cost more than a rupee to generate. Regulatory scrutiny intensified following the previous forensic audit, and the inability to fund overseas subsidiaries or maintain statutory compliance led to a final liquidity crisis, leaving equity holders with a worthless claim on a pile of accumulated losses.

Questions & answers

Is Cupid Breweries & Distilleries Ltd (512361.BO) a good business?

RichFakir rates Cupid Breweries & Distilleries Ltd's business quality as poor — 24/100 on our quality score (profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength and capital allocation). We assess its competitive moat as none.

What is RichFakir's verdict on Cupid Breweries & Distilleries Ltd (512361.BO)?

RichFakir's educational verdict on Cupid Breweries & Distilleries Ltd is: Avoid. We are steering clear of this one — the red flags below outweigh anything the price or numbers offer.

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