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Shiva Global Agro Industries Ltd

530433.BO · Commodities

The company manufactures and sells fertilizers like Single Super Phosphate and NPK mixes, primarily serving the agricultural sector in Maharashtra. It also operates in solvent extraction and poultry feed through subsidiaries, though it is currently divesting these non-core segments.

Our view
Not rated
Quality score
31
Discount to fair value
-380%
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Fair value / share
₹8
Discount to fair value
-380%
Quality score
31/100
Return on equity
6.1%
Revenue growth (5y)
-10.1%
P/E
—

Competitive advantage

The company operates in a highly commoditized fertilizer market where profitability is dictated by government subsidy regimes and volatile raw material costs. Low and inconsistent returns on capital, coupled with negative revenue growth, indicate a lack of durable pricing power or cost advantage.

Capital allocation

Management is currently reversing a period of poor capital allocation by divesting loss-making subsidiaries in poultry feed and solvent extraction. Historically, capital was tied up in these underperforming non-core assets, leading to high interest costs and a strained balance sheet.

Bear case

The company's attempt to pivot back to its core fertilizer business failed as the divestment of non-core assets proved insufficient to offset a structural decline in the commodity cycle. Persistent monsoon deficits led to massive inventory write-downs, while the government's subsidy regime shifted unfavorably, squeezing the already razor-thin 0.8% net margins into terminal losses. The lack of pricing power meant raw material spikes could not be passed on, and the interest coverage, already weak at 2.0, collapsed under the weight of working capital needs, leading to a slow liquidation of shareholder value.

Questions & answers

Is Shiva Global Agro Industries Ltd (530433.BO) a good business?

RichFakir rates Shiva Global Agro Industries Ltd's business quality as poor — 31/100 on our quality score (profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength and capital allocation). We assess its competitive moat as none.

Is Shiva Global Agro Industries Ltd overvalued or undervalued?

On our model, Shiva Global Agro Industries Ltd is trading far above our estimate of fair value (expensive on our lens); we rate its price expensive. This is an educational estimate from public filings, not a recommendation.

What is RichFakir's verdict on Shiva Global Agro Industries Ltd (530433.BO)?

RichFakir's educational verdict on Shiva Global Agro Industries Ltd is: Not rated. A poor business at an expensive price — it does not make our shortlist right now. We marked it down a notch: revenue and earnings barely grow — a steady cash cow, not a compounder.

What is Shiva Global Agro Industries Ltd's fair value?

RichFakir's educational estimate of Shiva Global Agro Industries Ltd's fair value is about ₹8 per share, derived from public filings. It's our estimate for research — not a price target or a recommendation to buy or sell.

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RichFakir is an educational research tool, not investment advice. Figures are estimates from public filings and may contain errors. Do your own research.