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Supreme Petrochem Ltd

SPLPETRO · Commodities

The company manufactures and sells styrenics, including polystyrene and expandable polystyrene, which are plastic materials used primarily in appliances, packaging, and construction insulation.

Our view
Not rated
Quality score
65
Discount to fair value
-226%
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Fair value / share
₹208
Discount to fair value
-226%
Quality score
65/100
Return on equity
18.9%
Revenue growth (5y)
1.9%
P/E
23.6

Competitive advantage

The company benefits from a cost and scale advantage as the largest domestic producer of polystyrene in India, though it lacks a wide moat due to the commodity nature of its products and sensitivity to global styrene monomer price spreads. High ROCE figures (31%) suggest efficient operations, but margins are volatile and heavily influenced by international raw material deltas rather than brand-driven pricing power.

Capital allocation

Management maintains a debt-free balance sheet and funds large-scale expansions, such as the new ABS plant and Haryana complex, entirely through internal accruals while maintaining a consistent dividend payout policy.

Bear case

The investment collapsed as the company's reliance on international styrene monomer spreads turned toxic during a prolonged global supply glut. While management funded massive ABS expansions through internal accruals, the proprietary equipment failures observed in the filings became a recurring nightmare, stalling production while competitors flooded the market. The removal of import duties, which was already eroding market share, became permanent, stripping away the domestic cost advantage. Ultimately, the business was squeezed between volatile Middle Eastern feedstock costs and a commoditized end-market, proving that high historical ROCE was a cyclical mirage rather than a structural fortress.

Questions & answers

Is Supreme Petrochem Ltd (SPLPETRO) a good business?

RichFakir rates Supreme Petrochem Ltd's business quality as mediocre — 65/100 on our quality score (profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength and capital allocation). We assess its competitive moat as narrow.

Is Supreme Petrochem Ltd overvalued or undervalued?

On our model, Supreme Petrochem Ltd is trading far above our estimate of fair value (expensive on our lens); we rate its price expensive. This is an educational estimate from public filings, not a recommendation.

What is RichFakir's verdict on Supreme Petrochem Ltd (SPLPETRO)?

RichFakir's educational verdict on Supreme Petrochem Ltd is: Not rated. A mediocre business at an expensive price — it does not make our shortlist right now. We marked it down a notch: revenue and earnings barely grow — a steady cash cow, not a compounder.

What is Supreme Petrochem Ltd's fair value?

RichFakir's educational estimate of Supreme Petrochem Ltd's fair value is about ₹208 per share, derived from public filings. It's our estimate for research — not a price target or a recommendation to buy or sell.

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RichFakir is an educational research tool, not investment advice. Figures are estimates from public filings and may contain errors. Do your own research.