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Alcokraft Distillery Ltd

ALCODIS · Fast Moving Consumer Goods

The company processes sugarcane molasses to manufacture industrial-grade alcohol, ethanol for fuel blending, and organic fertilizers for agricultural and industrial clients.

Our view
Not rated
Quality score
30
Discount to fair value
+55%
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Fair value / share
₹160
Discount to fair value
+55%
Quality score
30/100
Return on equity
11.5%
Revenue growth (5y)
8.7%
P/E
8.2

Competitive advantage

The company lacks a durable moat as evidenced by volatile net margins and a significant drop in ROCE from 24.4% to 10.4% in two years, indicating a lack of pricing power against raw material costs.

Capital allocation

Management has focused on vertical integration through waste-to-value potash plants and renewable energy, though recent large increases in loans to related parties raise questions about optimal capital use.

Bear case

The investment collapsed as the massive contingent excise liability crystallized into a mandatory payout, wiping out several years of earnings and forcing dilutive emergency financing. Meanwhile, the capital previously diverted to related-party loans was never recovered, and the lack of pricing power meant the company could not pass on rising grain and energy costs. The combination of high interest expenses from inter-corporate borrowing and a sharp decline in profitability led to a breach of debt covenants, leaving the business a hollow shell of its former self.

Questions & answers

Is Alcokraft Distillery Ltd (ALCODIS) a good business?

RichFakir rates Alcokraft Distillery Ltd's business quality as poor — 30/100 on our quality score (profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength and capital allocation). We assess its competitive moat as none.

Is Alcokraft Distillery Ltd overvalued or undervalued?

On our model, Alcokraft Distillery Ltd is trading about 55% below our estimate of fair value; we rate its price cheap. This is an educational estimate from public filings, not a recommendation.

What is RichFakir's verdict on Alcokraft Distillery Ltd (ALCODIS)?

RichFakir's educational verdict on Alcokraft Distillery Ltd is: Not rated. A poor business at a cheap price — it does not make our shortlist right now.

What is Alcokraft Distillery Ltd's fair value?

RichFakir's educational estimate of Alcokraft Distillery Ltd's fair value is about ₹160 per share, derived from public filings. It's our estimate for research — not a price target or a recommendation to buy or sell.

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RichFakir is an educational research tool, not investment advice. Figures are estimates from public filings and may contain errors. Do your own research.