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Data Patterns (India) Ltd

DATAPATTNS · Industrials

Data Patterns designs and manufactures high-tech electronic systems for the Indian defense and aerospace sectors, including radar, electronic warfare, and cockpit displays for military aircraft and satellites.

Our view
Avoid
Quality score
63
Discount to fair value
-363%
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Fair value / share
₹821
Discount to fair value
-363%
Quality score
63/100
Return on equity
10.3%
Revenue growth (5y)
35.3%
P/E
78.7

Competitive advantage

The company possesses a narrow moat driven by high switching costs and deep technical integration within long-cycle government defense programs. While margins are exceptionally high (40%+ EBITDA), the lack of proprietary platform ownership and heavy reliance on single-vendor government contracts limits the moat from being classified as wide.

Capital allocation

Management prioritizes heavy reinvestment into R&D and intellectual property creation to increase the addressable market. They maintain a debt-free balance sheet and have utilized QIP proceeds for product development rather than aggressive M&A, though cash conversion remains slow due to the nature of government contracts.

Bear case

The investment collapsed as the company's massive working capital requirements finally outstripped its ability to generate cash. While revenue grew, the cash conversion ratio remained abysmal, forcing the company to abandon its debt-free stance and take on expensive leverage to fund a 300-day-plus inventory and receivables cycle. When the Indian government shifted procurement priorities or delayed the typical fourth-quarter budget release, the high fixed-cost engineering base became a millstone, leading to margin compression and a permanent re-rating of the stock as a low-quality government contractor rather than a high-growth tech firm.

Questions & answers

Is Data Patterns (India) Ltd (DATAPATTNS) a good business?

RichFakir rates Data Patterns (India) Ltd's business quality as decent — 63/100 on our quality score (profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength and capital allocation). We assess its competitive moat as narrow.

Is Data Patterns (India) Ltd overvalued or undervalued?

On our model, Data Patterns (India) Ltd is trading far above our estimate of fair value (expensive on our lens); we rate its price expensive. This is an educational estimate from public filings, not a recommendation.

What is RichFakir's verdict on Data Patterns (India) Ltd (DATAPATTNS)?

RichFakir's educational verdict on Data Patterns (India) Ltd is: Avoid. We are steering clear of this one — the red flags below outweigh anything the price or numbers offer.

What is Data Patterns (India) Ltd's fair value?

RichFakir's educational estimate of Data Patterns (India) Ltd's fair value is about ₹821 per share, derived from public filings. It's our estimate for research — not a price target or a recommendation to buy or sell.

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RichFakir is an educational research tool, not investment advice. Figures are estimates from public filings and may contain errors. Do your own research.