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State Bank of India

SBIN · Financial Services

State Bank of India is a Fortune 500 company. It is an Indian Multinational, Public Sector banking and financial services statutory body headquartered in Mumbai. It is the largest and oldest bank in India with over 200 years of history.

Our view
Not rated
Quality score
65
Discount to fair value
-171%
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Fair value / share
₹341
Discount to fair value
-171%
Quality score
65/100
Return on equity
9.3%
Revenue growth (5y)
11.6%
P/E
10.6

Competitive advantage

The moat is built on a massive cost-of-funds advantage derived from a dominant 39% CASA ratio and a 23% market share in low-cost liabilities. This scale advantage is corroborated by the bank's ability to maintain a 1.1% ROA and 18.5% ROE despite a high-cost operating environment and significant developmental mandates.

Capital allocation

Management has successfully pivoted toward high-return retail assets (Xpress Credit, Gold Loans) while maintaining a disciplined corporate book. Recent capital raising (₹25,000 crore QIP) was well-timed to support 16%+ credit growth, though the bank carries significant non-core subsidiary value that remains partially locked.

Bear case

The investment collapsed as the bank's massive scale became a liability during a period of sustained yield volatility and regulatory tightening. The transition to Expected Credit Loss (ECL) provisioning in 2027 forced a massive capital hit that the 1.36 interest coverage could not buffer, while the high 50% cost-to-income ratio proved inflexible compared to leaner private competitors. Persistent slippages in the SME and agriculture sectors, previously dismissed as seasonal, metastasized into a systemic asset quality crisis, and the reliance on non-recurring items like tax refund interest and stake sales finally ran dry, leaving the bank with an uncompetitive ROE and a bloated, state-mandated cost structure.

Questions & answers

Is State Bank of India (SBIN) a good business?

RichFakir rates State Bank of India's business quality as decent — 65/100 on our quality score (profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength and capital allocation). We assess its competitive moat as wide.

Is State Bank of India overvalued or undervalued?

On our model, State Bank of India is trading far above our estimate of fair value (expensive on our lens); we rate its price expensive. This is an educational estimate from public filings, not a recommendation.

What is RichFakir's verdict on State Bank of India (SBIN)?

RichFakir's educational verdict on State Bank of India is: Not rated. Decent business (score 65), but the valuation is low-confidence, so we are not calling it a bargain.

What is State Bank of India's fair value?

RichFakir's educational estimate of State Bank of India's fair value is about ₹341 per share, derived from public filings. It's our estimate for research — not a price target or a recommendation to buy or sell.

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RichFakir is an educational research tool, not investment advice. Figures are estimates from public filings and may contain errors. Do your own research.