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Yatra Online Ltd

YATRA · Consumer Discretionary

Yatra is an online travel platform that provides flight, hotel, and holiday bookings to individual consumers and large corporate enterprises in India. It earns revenue through transaction fees, service management fees, and commissions from travel suppliers like airlines and hotels.

Our view
Avoid
Quality score
35
Discount to fair value
-359%
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Fair value / share
₹15
Discount to fair value
-359%
Quality score
35/100
Return on equity
-29.6%
Revenue growth (5y)
29.5%
P/E
31.2

Competitive advantage

The company possesses a narrow moat driven by switching costs in its corporate travel segment, where its software is integrated into enterprise ERP and HR systems, resulting in a 97% retention rate. However, the lack of pricing power and persistent negative average ROCE suggest that this competitive advantage has not yet translated into a durable economic surplus.

Capital allocation

Capital has been primarily directed toward acquisitions like Globe Travels and internal technology development, such as the RECAP expense platform. While these have expanded the service suite, the historical track record shows a failure to generate positive returns on equity or capital, though recent years show a trend toward operating cash flow positivity.

Bear case

The investment collapsed as the material weaknesses in financial controls and SEBI investigations into IPO proceeds usage evolved into a full-blown accounting scandal, destroying market trust. Despite the high retention in corporate travel, the business never achieved the scale required to offset its structural lack of pricing power, and the frequent turnover of key financial personnel led to a series of earnings restatements. The capital allocated to acquisitions failed to generate a positive return, leaving the company as a perennial cash-burner in a commoditized industry where competitors with deeper pockets eventually bypassed their software integrations.

Questions & answers

Is Yatra Online Ltd (YATRA) a good business?

RichFakir rates Yatra Online Ltd's business quality as poor — 35/100 on our quality score (profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength and capital allocation). We assess its competitive moat as narrow.

Is Yatra Online Ltd overvalued or undervalued?

On our model, Yatra Online Ltd is trading far above our estimate of fair value (expensive on our lens); we rate its price expensive. This is an educational estimate from public filings, not a recommendation.

What is RichFakir's verdict on Yatra Online Ltd (YATRA)?

RichFakir's educational verdict on Yatra Online Ltd is: Avoid. We are steering clear of this one — the red flags below outweigh anything the price or numbers offer.

What is Yatra Online Ltd's fair value?

RichFakir's educational estimate of Yatra Online Ltd's fair value is about ₹15 per share, derived from public filings. It's our estimate for research — not a price target or a recommendation to buy or sell.

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RichFakir is an educational research tool, not investment advice. Figures are estimates from public filings and may contain errors. Do your own research.